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Feb 8, 2022Liked by Joe Sheehan

I would be very interested to see rates per country of prophylaxis for MALARIA use vs Covid IFR. HCQ and other drugs are well-suited as anti-malarials and, well, you know what else.

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That is a confounding variable I didn't think of, good point.

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This is interesting, but I don't find it very compelling - seems like too many confounders have been ignored to really draw any good comparisions. It seems just as reasonable to assert that population demographic difference expain the difference. Seems like a lot of the no-vax countries are 'hot' climate locales vs high vax countries with more seasonal variations too.

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Thank you for your feedback.

I agree there are too many confounding variables in comparing the non-vaxxed to the vaxxed countries. I did the exercise and showed the data. At the end of the exercise, I wanted to only look at the ten most vaccinated countries, because their covid death rates based upon vax status/omicron emergence was compelling. The comparison to the unvaxxed contries was almost unfair with the confounding variables, but that was the exercise.

What is compelling is the fact that the deaths per day per capita went up in the Omicron era among many of the fully vaxxed countries and the country that seemed to have the best results against Omicron was Japan a country that nearly rejected the boosters (and Cambodia, but I don't really trust their data). Denmark, Canada, and South Korea are having more deaths in the Omicron era than any other time. I thought Omicron was supposed to be mild. Admittedly, the death rate from Omicron is lower than previous variants. However, data from Ontario shows Omicron effects the vaccinated more than the unvaccinated.

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How accurate do you consider the data from any of the ten least vaccinated countries to be?

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I really have no idea on the accuracy. The point was not really to compare the two groupsagainst each other, but compare their trends to each other. Presumably the data would be consistent for each country over the Omicron surge. Meaning if they only catch 30% of their cases the entire pandemic would see a spike either way. They did not appear to spike. What was more compelling was comparing the total desth rates over the three different time periods especially in the vaccinated countries.

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Seems a pretty big assumption to make. I would feel better comparing to excess deaths, although most sub-Saharan countries don't even have population/demographic data, let alone mortality data.

I would be suspicious of results confirming my hypothesis, especially when the data is questionable.

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